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Creators/Authors contains: "Reid, Phillip"

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  1. Abstract. Identifying the processes that drive the rapid climatological retreat phase of Antarctica’s annual sea-ice cycle is crucial to understanding, modelling and attributing observed trends and recent high variability in sea-ice extent, and to projecting future sea-ice conditions and impacts accurately. To date, the rapid annual retreat of Antarctic sea ice each spring–summer has been largely attributed to lateral and basal melting of ice floes, enhanced by wave-induced breakup of large floes. Here, based on observations and modelling, we propose that waves play important additional roles in generating previously-neglected surface and interior melting, by removing snow from small floes, flooding them, and pulverising them into slush. Results here show a resultant estimated reduction in albedo by 0.38–0.54, that increases melting by 0.9–5.2 cm day-1 at 60–70o S compared to a snow-covered floe of first-year ice, and depending on surface type, wave-flooding coverage, latitude and ice density. Rapid proliferation of algae within and on the high-light and high-nutrient environment of the wave-modified ice reduces the albedo by a further 0.1 to increase the melt-rate enhancement to 1.1–6.1 cm day-1. Melting is further accelerated by a wave-induced ice–albedo feedback mechanism, similar to that associated with Arctic melt ponds but involving seawater rather than freshwater. This positive feedback is strengthened by ice-algal greening. Floe thinning and weakening by wave-melting initiate additional dynamic–thermodynamic feedbacks by increasing the likelihood of both wave-flooding and flexural breakup, leading to further floe melting. Wave melting and the associated physical–biological feedbacks will likely increase in importance in a predicted stormier and warmer Southern Ocean, and will also become more prevalent in a changing Arctic. There are implications for global weather and climate, the health of the ocean and its ecosystems, fisheries, ice-shelf stability and sea-level rise, atmospheric and oceanic biogeochemistry, and human activities. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 22, 2026
  2. Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 1, 2026
  3. Abstract. Landfast sea ice (fast ice) is an important though poorly understood component of the cryosphere on the Antarctic continental shelf, where it plays a key role in atmosphere–ocean–ice-sheet interaction and coupled ecological and biogeochemical processes. Here, we present a first in-depth baseline analysis of variability and change in circum-Antarctic fast-ice distribution (including its relationship to bathymetry), based on a new high-resolution satellite-derived time series for the period 2000 to 2018. This reveals (a) an overall trend of -882±824 km2 yr−1 (-0.19±0.18 % yr−1) and (b) eight distinct regions in terms of fast-ice coverage and modes of formation. Of these, four exhibit positive trends over the 18-year period and four negative. Positive trends are seen in East Antarctica and in the Bellingshausen Sea, with this region claiming the largest positive trend of +1198±359 km2 yr−1 (+1.10±0.35 % yr−1). The four negative trends predominantly occur in West Antarctica, with the largest negative trend of -1206±277 km2 yr−1 (-1.78±0.41 % yr−1) occurring in the Victoria and Oates Land region in the western Ross Sea. All trends are significant. This new baseline analysis represents a significant advance in our knowledge of the current state of both the global cryosphere and the complex Antarctic coastal system, which are vulnerable to climate variability and change. It will also inform a wide range of other studies. 
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  4. null (Ed.)
    Abstract The Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH) had a special observing period (SOP) that ran from 16 November 2018 to 15 February 2019, a period chosen to span the austral warm season months of greatest operational activity in the Antarctic. Some 2,200 additional radiosondes were launched during the 3-month SOP, roughly doubling the routine program, and the network of drifting buoys in the Southern Ocean was enhanced. An evaluation of global model forecasts during the SOP and using its data has confirmed that extratropical Southern Hemisphere forecast skill lags behind that in the Northern Hemisphere with the contrast being greatest between the southern and northern polar regions. Reflecting the application of the SOP data, early results from observing system experiments show that the additional radiosondes yield the greatest forecast improvement for deep cyclones near the Antarctic coast. The SOP data have been applied to provide insights on an atmospheric river event during the YOPP-SH SOP that presented a challenging forecast and that impacted southern South America and the Antarctic Peninsula. YOPP-SH data have also been applied in determinations that seasonal predictions by coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice models struggle to capture the spatial and temporal characteristics of the Antarctic sea ice minimum. Education, outreach, and communication activities have supported the YOPP-SH SOP efforts. Based on the success of this Antarctic summer YOPP-SH SOP, a winter YOPP-SH SOP is being organized to support explorations of Antarctic atmospheric predictability in the austral cold season when the southern sea ice cover is rapidly expanding. 
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